14 RANKED · 7 RING-FENCED · 1 UNSCORED
Prioritisation
T2 asserted / draft
14ranked on the model
7ring-fenced as mandatory
$11,840,000committed before any choice
1cannot be scored
6funding outcome weight-sensitive
A weighted multi-criteria ranking of the discretionary plan. Work the institution has no choice about is ring-fenced above the model, not given a high weight — weight an obligation and a sufficiently attractive option eventually outranks it. Every score is shown as its parts, because a single number nobody can decompose is a number nobody can argue with.
The model, and the choice inside it
| Criterion | Weight | Source | What it is |
|---|
| Strategic alignment | 35% | authored | How strongly the initiative serves a named institutional objective. Authored 1-5, and the objective it is scored against is named on every row. |
| Risk reduction | 30% | derived | The engine’s own modelled reduction in assessed portfolio risk, after the unfunded-credit correction. Derived, not authored. |
| Value for money | 20% | derived | Risk reduction per million of spend — the Value for money pane’s figure. A proxy for return, and a poor one where the benefit is not risk. |
| Contract urgency | 15% | derived | Whether the initiative touches an application with an agreement already expired or expiring inside the decision horizon. Derived from the register. |
Delivery risk is applied last, as a confidence discount on the total (low 100%, medium 90%, high 80%) rather than as a criterion. A shaky initiative is not less worth doing — it is less likely to deliver what it promises, and blending that into the case FOR the work would hide it.
Ring-fenced: not ranked, because not optional
| Initiative | Obligation | Stated source | Plan value |
|---|
| Information security uplift programme (portfolio-wide) | Security control uplift | Information security assurance framework | $3,150,000 |
| Identity and access modernisation | Access control baseline | Information security assurance framework | $3,000,000 |
| Records archive remediation | Records retention schedule | Institutional records policy | $1,800,000 |
| Enforcement register uplift | Safeguards reporting obligation | Environmental and social framework | $1,320,000 |
| Applicant services portal accessibility and hardening | Digital accessibility conformance | Accessibility standard | $1,050,000 |
| Corporate finance ledger upgrade | Financial reporting controls | External audit requirement | $980,000 |
| Complaints intake channel uplift | Grievance redress obligation | Complaints and Review mechanism | $540,000 |
These consume 22% of the plan before a single discretionary choice is made. That is the real starting point of any funding conversation, and it is the number most portfolio ranking hides by listing obligations alongside options.
The ranking, with its working shown
| # | Initiative and the objective it is scored against | Score, by component | Rank band | Plan value | Funded from |
|---|
| 1 | Sector reporting refresh Evidence and results | 56 | 1–3 | $760,000 | 25% |
| 2 | Regulatory performance automation Evidence and results | 56 | 1–3 | $870,000 | 30% |
| 3 | Consents Portal re-platform - assessment and inspection Operational effectiveness of lending | 54 | 1–5 | $10,000,000 | 45% |
| 4 | Enterprise data warehouse consolidation Evidence and results | 47 | 3–5 | $2,500,000 | 50% |
| 5 | Revenue collection platform upgrade Financial integrity and controls | 46 | 4–6 | $1,500,000 | 55% |
| 6 | Determinations modernisation Operational effectiveness of lending | 43 | 5–6 | $6,200,000 | 65% |
| 7 | Licence renewals platform migration Financial integrity and controls | 36 | 7–8 | $4,800,000 | 75% |
| 8 | Levy administration uplift Financial integrity and controls | 31 | 7–10 | $3,400,000 | 80% |
| 9 | Regional office network renewal Client and country responsiveness | 30 | 8–13 | $5,300,000 | 90% |
| 10 | Executive reporting workspace refresh Evidence and results | 26 | 8–13 | $400,000 | 90% |
| 11 | Payroll and benefits replacement Institutional resilience | 25 | 10–14 | $2,700,000 | 95% |
| 12 | Guidance repository migration Evidence and results | 25 | 11–12 | $640,000 | 95% |
| 13 | Travel and expense refresh Institutional resilience | 22 | 9–14 | $460,000 | 100% |
| 14 | Procurement and supplier portal rebuild Operational effectiveness of lending | 22 | 11–14 | $1,700,000 | 100% |
Strategic alignmentRisk reductionValue for moneyContract urgency
Funded from is the lowest funding level at which the initiative survives the cut, with obligations committed first. It is a property of this ranking, not a plan.
Rank band is how far the row moves across 8 runs that vary one weight by half in either direction. A band is information, not an alarm: sliding two places inside the funded block changes no decision. What does change a decision is crossing the line where the money runs out, and that is measured separately below.
6 of 14 initiatives change funding outcome by more than 10 percentage points when the weights move. These are the rows where the weighting is doing real work: Sector reporting refresh (funded from 25%, or 45% under a different weighting); Enterprise data warehouse consolidation (funded from 50%, or 30% under a different weighting); Revenue collection platform upgrade (funded from 55%, or 35% under a different weighting); Travel and expense refresh (funded from 100%, or 80% under a different weighting); Regulatory performance automation (funded from 30%, or 45% under a different weighting); Executive reporting workspace refresh (funded from 90%, or 75% under a different weighting). Everything else is funded or deferred at the same level whichever defensible weighting is used, so arguing about the weights will not change what happens to it.
1 initiative cannot be scored at all and is absent from the ranking rather than placed at the bottom of it: IT operating model and sourcing review. It is missing at least one component, and a missing component is not a zero — scoring it as one would manufacture a last place out of a gap in the register.
Three panels in this pack count “initiatives the model cannot place” and get three different numbers. They are not in conflict, they are three questions: 1 cannot be scored at all (missing a component, above); 2 carry no modelled risk reduction, so they are absent from the value-for-money ranking; and 2 are held in the funding stepper’s manual-only tray, which takes either of those two faults. Read the noun, not the number.
It also sits outside the funding lever on Funding scenarios: it is neither funded nor cut at any level, because a model that could not rank it cannot decide to drop it either.
The weights are a choice, not a finding, and a different defensible choice reorders this list — which is why the rank band under weight variation sits beside every row. The scores are normalised WITHIN this portfolio, so 100 means best of these, never good. There is no benefit in money anywhere in the dataset, so there is no NPV, no IRR and no payback here; “value for money” is risk reduction per million, which is a proxy and fails wherever the benefit of an initiative is not risk. Nothing here says what to cut. It says what the model says, how much of that survives the model being wrong, and what it could not look at.
Strategic alignment and the obligations are AUTHORED inputs in this dataset. Risk reduction, value for money and contract urgency are derived by the engine from the register. The tab marks which is which per row.